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PreprintCC BYmedRxiv

MRI-informed active surveillance outcomes and dietary fibre acceptability: the Aberdeen experience

  1. 1The Rowett Institute, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK

Abstract

ObjectivesTo describe active surveillance (AS) outcomes following introduction of an MRI-informed pathway, examine whether baseline PI-RADS/Likert scores identify men with earlier AS discontinuation, and assess the acceptability of dietary fibre supplementation in men on AS.

Patients and methodsWe conducted a retrospective audit of 420 men enrolled in AS at Aberdeen Royal Infirmary between 2012 and 2022. Men were grouped into an MRI-informed pathway (n=198) or biopsy-first pathway (n=222). Time to AS discontinuation for any reason was analysed using Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests. An exploratory analysis compared men with baseline PI-RADS/Likert scores of 4-5 and 2-3. Ten men on AS also completed semi-structured interviews analysed using the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability.

ResultsMedian follow-up was 3.1 years (IQR 1.6-5.1). Overall, 208 men (49.5%) discontinued AS, including 176 because of disease progression. Median time to discontinuation was 4.9 years (95% CI 4.4-5.6). It was shorter in the MRI-informed pathway than in the biopsy-first pathway (4.1 vs 5.6 years; log-rank p<0.01). Among 167 men with recorded baseline MRI scores, 44 (26.3%) had PI-RADS/Likert 4-5. Median time to discontinuation was 2.9 years in this group compared with 4.0 years for scores 2-3 (p<0.01). Interview participants were generally willing to consider dietary fibre supplementation, although gastrointestinal effects and study procedures were anticipated burdens.

ConclusionAS discontinuation occurred earlier in the MRI-informed pathway, although differences in patient selection and surveillance practice should be considered when interpreting this finding. PI-RADS/Likert 4-5 identified a sizeable subgroup with earlier all-cause AS discontinuation that may help inform recruitment to future intervention studies. Dietary fibre supplementation was acceptable in principle, supporting further feasibility work.

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BibTeX
@misc{sescu2026mriinformed,
  title = {{MRI-informed active surveillance outcomes and dietary fibre acceptability: the Aberdeen experience}},
  author = {D. Sescu and J. Zbikowski and J. S. Royle and S. MacLennan and A. Kiltie},
  howpublished = {medRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.09.24.26363863},
  url = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.24.26363863v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - MRI-informed active surveillance outcomes and dietary fibre acceptability: the Aberdeen experience
AU  - D. Sescu
AU  - J. Zbikowski
AU  - J. S. Royle
AU  - S. MacLennan
AU  - A. Kiltie
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/24
PB  - medRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.09.24.26363863
UR  - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.09.24.26363863v1
AB  - ObjectivesTo describe active surveillance (AS) outcomes following introduction of an MRI-informed pathway, examine whether baseline PI-RADS/Likert scores identify men with earlier AS discontinuation, and assess the acceptability of dietary fibre supplementation in men on AS.  Patients and methodsWe conducted a retrospective audit of 420 men enrolled in AS at Aberdeen Royal Infirmary between 2012 and 2022. Men were grouped into an MRI-informed pathway (n=198) or biopsy-first pathway (n=222). Time to AS discontinuation for any reason was analysed using Kaplan-Meier methods and log-rank tests. An exploratory analysis compared men with baseline PI-RADS/Likert scores of 4-5 and 2-3. Ten men on AS also completed semi-structured interviews analysed using the Theoretical Framework of Acceptability.  ResultsMedian follow-up was 3.1 years (IQR 1.6-5.1). Overall, 208 men (49.5%) discontinued AS, including 176 because of disease progression. Median time to discontinuation was 4.9 years (95% CI 4.4-5.6). It was shorter in the MRI-informed pathway than in the biopsy-first pathway (4.1 vs 5.6 years; log-rank p<0.01). Among 167 men with recorded baseline MRI scores, 44 (26.3%) had PI-RADS/Likert 4-5. Median time to discontinuation was 2.9 years in this group compared with 4.0 years for scores 2-3 (p<0.01). Interview participants were generally willing to consider dietary fibre supplementation, although gastrointestinal effects and study procedures were anticipated burdens.  ConclusionAS discontinuation occurred earlier in the MRI-informed pathway, although differences in patient selection and surveillance practice should be considered when interpreting this finding. PI-RADS/Likert 4-5 identified a sizeable subgroup with earlier all-cause AS discontinuation that may help inform recruitment to future intervention studies. Dietary fibre supplementation was acceptable in principle, supporting further feasibility work.
ER  -