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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-NDNovos Cadernos NAEA

The inchoative failure of climate governance

Abstract

This article examines the structural failure of global climate governance as revealed by COP30, held in Belém in November 2025. It argues that the inability of international climate negotiations to protect Amazonian ecosystems stems not from a lack of political ambition, but from the ontological architecture of the post-war economic order itself. Drawing on Gilbert Simondon's ontogenesis, the article distinguishes immanent structures – the legal, financial and computational architectures that operate beneath deliberation – from Artificial Immanence, understood as the deliberate reincorporation of technical objects into the logic of the ecosystems that form their associated milieu. Methodologically, the study combines participant observation conducted during COP30 with a comparative textual analysis of two primary treaty texts, the 1948 Havana Charter and the 1947 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, read alongside the COP30 Action Agenda Final Report. From that comparison the article extracts a four-axis rubric, termed an inchoation index, which measures the degree to which an institution encodes or deletes milieu-feedback. The analysis finds that the abandonment of the Havana Charter installed a closed-loop architecture whose operating logic still governs climate policy, and it reads two COP30 outcomes – the Tropical Forest Forever Facility and the operationalisation of Article 6 carbon markets – as outputs of that same loop. The article concludes by proposing an inchoative approach as an operational horizon for redesigning the relationship between technical systems and living milieus.

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BibTeX
@article{garattini2026inchoative,
  title = {{The inchoative failure of climate governance}},
  author = {Ludovic Garattini and Jessica de Mendonça Alves Mota},
  journal = {Novos Cadernos NAEA},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.18542/ncn.v29i3.20529},
  url = {https://hal.science/hal-05737841v1},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - The inchoative failure of climate governance
AU  - Ludovic Garattini
AU  - Jessica de Mendonça Alves Mota
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/03
JO  - Novos Cadernos NAEA
DO  - 10.18542/ncn.v29i3.20529
UR  - https://hal.science/hal-05737841v1
AB  - This article examines the structural failure of global climate governance as revealed by COP30, held in Belém in November 2025. It argues that the inability of international climate negotiations to protect Amazonian ecosystems stems not from a lack of political ambition, but from the ontological architecture of the post-war economic order itself. Drawing on Gilbert Simondon's ontogenesis, the article distinguishes immanent structures – the legal, financial and computational architectures that operate beneath deliberation – from Artificial Immanence, understood as the deliberate reincorporation of technical objects into the logic of the ecosystems that form their associated milieu. Methodologically, the study combines participant observation conducted during COP30 with a comparative textual analysis of two primary treaty texts, the 1948 Havana Charter and the 1947 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, read alongside the COP30 Action Agenda Final Report. From that comparison the article extracts a four-axis rubric, termed an inchoation index, which measures the degree to which an institution encodes or deletes milieu-feedback. The analysis finds that the abandonment of the Havana Charter installed a closed-loop architecture whose operating logic still governs climate policy, and it reads two COP30 outcomes – the Tropical Forest Forever Facility and the operationalisation of Article 6 carbon markets – as outputs of that same loop. The article concludes by proposing an inchoative approach as an operational horizon for redesigning the relationship between technical systems and living milieus.
SN  - 1516-6481
SN  - 2179-7536
ER  -