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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Bias-Corrected Estimators for Joint Entropy, Conditional Entropy, and Mutual Information in the Discrete Bivariate Case: Theory and an Application to Motor Insurance

Abstract

This paper studies the finite-sample bias of plug-in estimators for joint entropy, conditional entropy, and mutual information for finitely supported discrete random variables. Using the univariate reduction framework developed in our companion works, we derive explicit first-order bias formulas. For a pair (X,Y) with support sizes r and s, the biases are respectively -(rs-1)/(2n), -r(s-1)/(2n), and (r-1)(s-1)/(2n). We then propose bias-corrected estimators for the three measures and prove that the uncorrected and corrected versions are asymptotically equivalent, differing by a deterministic term of order O(1/n); consequently, they share the same asymptotic distribution. A simulation study validates the theoretical results, including a dedicated independence study and the relationship with Wilks' theorem. An application to a motor insurance portfolio, where X is the driver's age class and Y the claim severity class, illustrates the improvement brought by the bias correction for risk classification.

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BibTeX
@misc{ba2026biascorrected,
  title = {{Bias-Corrected Estimators for Joint Entropy, Conditional Entropy, and Mutual Information in the Discrete Bivariate Case: Theory and an Application to Motor Insurance}},
  author = {Amadou Diadie Ba},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.02558},
  eprint = {2610.02558},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02558},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Bias-Corrected Estimators for Joint Entropy, Conditional Entropy, and Mutual Information in the Discrete Bivariate Case: Theory and an Application to Motor Insurance
AU  - Amadou Diadie Ba
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/01
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.02558
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.02558
AB  - This paper studies the finite-sample bias of plug-in estimators for joint entropy, conditional entropy, and mutual information for finitely supported discrete random variables. Using the univariate reduction framework developed in our companion works, we derive explicit first-order bias formulas. For a pair (X,Y) with support sizes r and s, the biases are respectively -(rs-1)/(2n), -r(s-1)/(2n), and (r-1)(s-1)/(2n). We then propose bias-corrected estimators for the three measures and prove that the uncorrected and corrected versions are asymptotically equivalent, differing by a deterministic term of order O(1/n); consequently, they share the same asymptotic distribution. A simulation study validates the theoretical results, including a dedicated independence study and the relationship with Wilks' theorem. An application to a motor insurance portfolio, where X is the driver's age class and Y the claim severity class, illustrates the improvement brought by the bias correction for risk classification.
ER  -