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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0PLOS One

Prevalence, associated factors, and machine learning classification of low back pain among postmenopausal women attending rehabilitation and physiotherapy facilities in Bangladesh

  • Md. Faruqul Islam1
  • Md. Omar Faruque2
  • Md. Alauddin3
  • Md. Omar Faruk4
  • Zakia Rahman5
  • Zahid Bin Sultan Nahid6
  • Ahsan Habib Bulbul7
  • Md Emran Hasan
  • Maysa Mohamed Rabea Abdelall
  • Firoj Al-Mamun
  • Mohammed A. Mamun
7 affiliations
  1. 1Department of Nutrition and Food Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore, Bangladesh
  2. 2Department of Physiotherapy, Saic College of Medical Science and Technology, Dhaka, Bangladesh
  3. 3CHINTA Research Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh
  4. 4Department of Physiotherapy, Dhaka College of Physiotherapy, Dhaka, Bangladesh
  5. 5School of Computer Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
  6. 6Department of Physical Sport Sciences, College of Sport Sciences and Physical Activity, Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
  7. 7Department of Public Health, University of South Asia, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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Abstract

Background: Low back pain (LBP) is a leading cause of disability worldwide and disproportionately affects women, particularly after menopause. However, evidence on the prevalence and associated factors of LBP among postmenopausal women in low- and middle-income countries remains limited. This study aimed to estimate the past-year prevalence of LBP among postmenopausal women attending selected rehabilitation and physiotherapy facilities in Bangladesh, examine factors associated with LBP, and evaluate the internal classification performance of machine learning models. Methods: A clinic-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 566 postmenopausal women attending two specialized rehabilitation centers in Bangladesh. Sociodemographic, clinical, lifestyle, and socioeconomic data were collected using structured questionnaires. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted associations with LBP. Machine learning models (Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine with radial basis function (SVM-RBF), Random Forest, Bernoulli Naïve Bayes, and Extreme Gradient Boosting) were developed to classify LBP. Model development used nested cross-validation, and final discriminative performance was evaluated using a held-out test set. Model interpretability was assessed using SHapley Additive exPlanations. Results: The prevalence of past-year LBP among the postmenopausal women was 46.6%. Multivariable analysis showed lower odds of LBP among women aged 51–57 years than those aged 43–50 years (AOR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.31–0.81), and higher odds among housewives (AOR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.33–3.64), women with hypertension (AOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.09–2.35), respiratory disease (AOR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.28–4.71), and selected socioeconomic groups, while heart disease and BMI category were not clearly associated after adjustment. Among the evaluated machine learning models, the SVM-RBF classifier achieved the highest accuracy during nested cross-validation (0.772), while random forest achieved comparable accuracy (0.768) and the highest F1-score (0.744). On the held-out test set, SVM-RBF achieved the highest ROC-AUC (0.890), followed by random forest (0.885). SHAP analysis identified sunlight exposure, hypertension, and socioeconomic status as the most influential contributors to model classification. Conclusions: LBP is commonly reported among postmenopausal women seeking rehabilitation and physiotherapy care in Bangladesh and is associated with multiple social, occupational, and health-related factors. Machine learning models demonstrated relatively strong internal classification performance; however, external validation is required before broader clinical use can be considered. Longitudinal community- and clinic-based studies are needed to clarify temporal relationships and assess the generalizability of these findings.

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Cite

BibTeXRIS
BibTeX
@article{islam2026prevalence,
  title = {{Prevalence, associated factors, and machine learning classification of low back pain among postmenopausal women attending rehabilitation and physiotherapy facilities in Bangladesh}},
  author = {Md. Faruqul Islam and Md. Omar Faruque and Md. Alauddin and Md. Omar Faruk and Zakia Rahman and Zahid Bin Sultan Nahid and Ahsan Habib Bulbul and Md Emran Hasan and Maysa Mohamed Rabea Abdelall and Firoj Al-Mamun and Mohammed A. Mamun},
  journal = {PLOS One},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0355864},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0355864},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Prevalence, associated factors, and machine learning classification of low back pain among postmenopausal women attending rehabilitation and physiotherapy facilities in Bangladesh
AU  - Md. Faruqul Islam
AU  - Md. Omar Faruque
AU  - Md. Alauddin
AU  - Md. Omar Faruk
AU  - Zakia Rahman
AU  - Zahid Bin Sultan Nahid
AU  - Ahsan Habib Bulbul
AU  - Md Emran Hasan
AU  - Maysa Mohamed Rabea Abdelall
AU  - Firoj Al-Mamun
AU  - Mohammed A. Mamun
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/21
JO  - PLOS One
DO  - 10.1371/journal.pone.0355864
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0355864
AB  - Background: Low back pain (LBP) is a leading cause of disability worldwide and disproportionately affects women, particularly after menopause. However, evidence on the prevalence and associated factors of LBP among postmenopausal women in low- and middle-income countries remains limited. This study aimed to estimate the past-year prevalence of LBP among postmenopausal women attending selected rehabilitation and physiotherapy facilities in Bangladesh, examine factors associated with LBP, and evaluate the internal classification performance of machine learning models. Methods: A clinic-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 566 postmenopausal women attending two specialized rehabilitation centers in Bangladesh. Sociodemographic, clinical, lifestyle, and socioeconomic data were collected using structured questionnaires. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted associations with LBP. Machine learning models (Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine with radial basis function (SVM-RBF), Random Forest, Bernoulli Naïve Bayes, and Extreme Gradient Boosting) were developed to classify LBP. Model development used nested cross-validation, and final discriminative performance was evaluated using a held-out test set. Model interpretability was assessed using SHapley Additive exPlanations. Results: The prevalence of past-year LBP among the postmenopausal women was 46.6%. Multivariable analysis showed lower odds of LBP among women aged 51–57 years than those aged 43–50 years (AOR = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.31–0.81), and higher odds among housewives (AOR = 2.20, 95% CI: 1.33–3.64), women with hypertension (AOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.09–2.35), respiratory disease (AOR = 2.46, 95% CI: 1.28–4.71), and selected socioeconomic groups, while heart disease and BMI category were not clearly associated after adjustment. Among the evaluated machine learning models, the SVM-RBF classifier achieved the highest accuracy during nested cross-validation (0.772), while random forest achieved comparable accuracy (0.768) and the highest F1-score (0.744). On the held-out test set, SVM-RBF achieved the highest ROC-AUC (0.890), followed by random forest (0.885). SHAP analysis identified sunlight exposure, hypertension, and socioeconomic status as the most influential contributors to model classification. Conclusions: LBP is commonly reported among postmenopausal women seeking rehabilitation and physiotherapy care in Bangladesh and is associated with multiple social, occupational, and health-related factors. Machine learning models demonstrated relatively strong internal classification performance; however, external validation is required before broader clinical use can be considered. Longitudinal community- and clinic-based studies are needed to clarify temporal relationships and assess the generalizability of these findings.
SN  - 1932-6203
ER  -