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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences

Indirect costs of floods: a case study of highways road users

  1. 1University of Concepción (Concepción, Chile)
  2. 2Research Center for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (Santiago, Chile)

Abstract

Hydrometeorological events have a significant impact on road infrastructure and traffic flow. Floods can collapse or weaken bridges, compromise river protection, and flood riverine roads, restricting or halting the traffic. These events incur additional user costs owing to increased travel times from the rerouting and reduced speeds on affected roads. The economic impact of such events on road networks is typically quantified in terms of infrastructure recovery costs, while the expected user cost (EUC) of driving on damaged roads is often neglected. This study estimates flood risk to road networks by integrating a hydrological-hydraulic model with road and bridge vulnerability assessments and traffic assignment models to calculate the EUC. The procedure was applied to the Aconcagua River basin in central Chile, considering floods with return periods ranging from 2 to 100 years, bridges vulnerability to scour, road waterlogging, travel times, and fuel consumption costs. In the 100-year scenario, 7.65 km of roads and 3 bridges were affected. Considering all analysed return periods, the EUC of the network reached USD 5.7 × 10 ⁶ yr ⁻¹ . These results provide a quantitative basis for flood risk management and support decision-making regarding prioritization of road and bridge interventions in the Aconcagua River basin.

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BibTeX
@article{contrerasjara2026indirect,
  title = {{Indirect costs of floods: a case study of highways road users}},
  author = {Manuel Contreras-Jara and Tomás Echaveguren and Eduardo Allen and Alondra Chamorro and José Vargas-Baecheler},
  journal = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5194/nhess-26-5339-2026},
  url = {https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/5339/2026/},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Indirect costs of floods: a case study of highways road users
AU  - Manuel Contreras-Jara
AU  - Tomás Echaveguren
AU  - Eduardo Allen
AU  - Alondra Chamorro
AU  - José Vargas-Baecheler
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/29
JO  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
DO  - 10.5194/nhess-26-5339-2026
UR  - https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/5339/2026/
AB  - Hydrometeorological events have a significant impact on road infrastructure and traffic flow. Floods can collapse or weaken bridges, compromise river protection, and flood riverine roads, restricting or halting the traffic. These events incur additional user costs owing to increased travel times from the rerouting and reduced speeds on affected roads. The economic impact of such events on road networks is typically quantified in terms of infrastructure recovery costs, while the expected user cost (EUC) of driving on damaged roads is often neglected. This study estimates flood risk to road networks by integrating a hydrological-hydraulic model with road and bridge vulnerability assessments and traffic assignment models to calculate the EUC. The procedure was applied to the Aconcagua River basin in central Chile, considering floods with return periods ranging from 2 to 100 years, bridges vulnerability to scour, road waterlogging, travel times, and fuel consumption costs. In the 100-year scenario, 7.65 km of roads and 3 bridges were affected. Considering all analysed return periods, the EUC of the network reached USD 5.7 × 10 ⁶ yr ⁻¹ . These results provide a quantitative basis for flood risk management and support decision-making regarding prioritization of road and bridge interventions in the Aconcagua River basin.
SN  - 1684-9981
ER  -