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PreprintCC BY-NC-NDmedRxiv

Performance of Contemporary Large Language Models on the National Prosthodontic Resident Examination: A Multi-Year Comparative Study

  1. 1Tufts University School of Dental Medicine

Abstract

PurposeTo compare the performance of three large language models (LLMs)--ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro--on the American College of Prosthodontists National Prosthodontic Resident Examination (NPRE).

Materials and MethodsOfficial NPRE examinations from years 2015-2024 were retrieved from the American College of Prosthodontists website and used to prompt each LLM. Paid access tiers and advanced reasoning were enabled. Responses from LLMs were recorded and compared against the official answer keys for accuracy, variability across years, and consistency of responses. Duplicate questions were retained for the primary analysis and removed in a sensitivity analysis. Accuracy (percent correct) was compared using generalized estimating equations binary logistic regression (primary); Cochrans Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests (sensitivity). Year-to-year variability (SD of annual accuracy) was compared using weighted Levene tests. Consistency across duplicate items was quantified as the percentage of perfect matches and compared using Cochrans Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests.

ResultsAcross 1,487 questions, overall accuracy differed among models (global P < 0.001). ChatGPT-o1 achieved 78.4% correct, Grok 3 76.4%, and Gemini 2.0 Pro 73.2%; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3s accuracy significantly exceeded Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P [≤] 0.016), with no significant difference between ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3 (P = 0.099). After removing duplicates (n = 1,200), results were similar: ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro were 77.1%, 76.6%, and 71.5% correct, respectively; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3s accuracy was significantly higher than Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P < 0.001). Variability across years did not differ significantly (P [≥] 0.097). Grok 3 showed significantly higher perfect-match consistency (79.2%) than ChatGPT-o1 (69.4%) and Gemini 2.0 Pro (64.5%) (P [≤] 0.010).

ConclusionsContemporary LLMs showed 70-80% accuracy on postgraduate prosthodontic multiple-choice content. While promising for educational support, residual error and inconsistency warrant human oversight and transparent methods reporting before curricular adoption.

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BibTeX
@misc{chen2026performance,
  title = {{Performance of Contemporary Large Language Models on the National Prosthodontic Resident Examination: A Multi-Year Comparative Study}},
  author = {Y.-w. Chen and V. Bhunyanaphakul and P. Kosago and M. Finkelman and D. J. Lee},
  howpublished = {medRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.19.26365937},
  url = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.19.26365937v1},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Performance of Contemporary Large Language Models on the National Prosthodontic Resident Examination: A Multi-Year Comparative Study
AU  - Y.-w. Chen
AU  - V. Bhunyanaphakul
AU  - P. Kosago
AU  - M. Finkelman
AU  - D. J. Lee
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/19
PB  - medRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365937
UR  - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.19.26365937v1
AB  - PurposeTo compare the performance of three large language models (LLMs)--ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro--on the American College of Prosthodontists National Prosthodontic Resident Examination (NPRE).  Materials and MethodsOfficial NPRE examinations from years 2015-2024 were retrieved from the American College of Prosthodontists website and used to prompt each LLM. Paid access tiers and advanced reasoning were enabled. Responses from LLMs were recorded and compared against the official answer keys for accuracy, variability across years, and consistency of responses. Duplicate questions were retained for the primary analysis and removed in a sensitivity analysis. Accuracy (percent correct) was compared using generalized estimating equations binary logistic regression (primary); Cochrans Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests (sensitivity). Year-to-year variability (SD of annual accuracy) was compared using weighted Levene tests. Consistency across duplicate items was quantified as the percentage of perfect matches and compared using Cochrans Q with Bonferroni-adjusted McNemar tests.  ResultsAcross 1,487 questions, overall accuracy differed among models (global P < 0.001). ChatGPT-o1 achieved 78.4% correct, Grok 3 76.4%, and Gemini 2.0 Pro 73.2%; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3s accuracy significantly exceeded Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P [≤] 0.016), with no significant difference between ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3 (P = 0.099). After removing duplicates (n = 1,200), results were similar: ChatGPT-o1, Grok 3, and Gemini 2.0 Pro were 77.1%, 76.6%, and 71.5% correct, respectively; ChatGPT-o1 and Grok 3s accuracy was significantly higher than Gemini 2.0 Pro (both P < 0.001). Variability across years did not differ significantly (P [≥] 0.097). Grok 3 showed significantly higher perfect-match consistency (79.2%) than ChatGPT-o1 (69.4%) and Gemini 2.0 Pro (64.5%) (P [≤] 0.010).  ConclusionsContemporary LLMs showed 70-80% accuracy on postgraduate prosthodontic multiple-choice content. While promising for educational support, residual error and inconsistency warrant human oversight and transparent methods reporting before curricular adoption.
ER  -