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PreprintCC BY-NC-NDbioRxiv

Predicting single-molecule chromatin distribution from DNA sequence

  1. 1University Of Chicago

Abstract

Genome regulation unfolds through dynamic and stochastic single-molecule events. Deep learning models that read gene regulatory activities from DNA sequences have markedly advanced our ability to predict cell-population-level averages. However, they cannot capture the full spectrum of heterogeneity and dynamics at the single-molecule level, which directly reflect the underlying mechanisms of genome regulation. Here, we introduce a sequence-to-distribution (S2d) framework that directly models the entire probabilistic distribution of single-molecule chromatin states from DNA sequence alone. We used this framework to train Mola, a model of single-molecule chromatin accessibility. We harness Mola to investigate sequence-based regulatory code and mechanisms for multiple aspects of chromatin regulation at the single-molecule level. By quantifying sequence-driven nucleosome regulation, we reveal distinct modes of transcription factor engagement with nucleosomes, including a novel nucleosome-trapping factor, ZNF146. We characterized the sequence determinants governing the +1 nucleosome after transcription start sites and identified YY1 as the strongest +1 nucleosome-positioning factor. Leveraging long-context single-molecule modeling, we further discovered a shared sequence basis for the co-accessibility of regulatory elements and the co-footprinting of transcription factors. Joint prediction of DNA methylation and accessibility reveals a sequence-driven bimodal state mediated by methylation-sensitive transcription factors. Beyond static single-molecule snapshots, the S2d framework can generate pseudo-dynamic trajectories of chromatin states and propose a roadmap toward genome-wide chromatin dynamics. Moreover, we showed that Mola can predict and interpret the effects of genetic variants at the single-molecule level, revealing how sequence changes reshape distal regulatory coordination. Together, this sequence-to-distribution framework lays the foundation for understanding how genomic sequence encodes stochastic and dynamic genome regulation, and how genetic variation changes it, one molecule at a time.

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BibTeX
@misc{wang2026predicting,
  title = {{Predicting single-molecule chromatin distribution from DNA sequence}},
  author = {R. Wang and J. Jin and S. Pott and J. Zhou},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.29.762992},
  url = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.29.762992v1},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Predicting single-molecule chromatin distribution from DNA sequence
AU  - R. Wang
AU  - J. Jin
AU  - S. Pott
AU  - J. Zhou
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/29
PB  - bioRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.29.762992
UR  - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.29.762992v1
AB  - Genome regulation unfolds through dynamic and stochastic single-molecule events. Deep learning models that read gene regulatory activities from DNA sequences have markedly advanced our ability to predict cell-population-level averages. However, they cannot capture the full spectrum of heterogeneity and dynamics at the single-molecule level, which directly reflect the underlying mechanisms of genome regulation. Here, we introduce a sequence-to-distribution (S2d) framework that directly models the entire probabilistic distribution of single-molecule chromatin states from DNA sequence alone. We used this framework to train Mola, a model of single-molecule chromatin accessibility. We harness Mola to investigate sequence-based regulatory code and mechanisms for multiple aspects of chromatin regulation at the single-molecule level. By quantifying sequence-driven nucleosome regulation, we reveal distinct modes of transcription factor engagement with nucleosomes, including a novel nucleosome-trapping factor, ZNF146. We characterized the sequence determinants governing the +1 nucleosome after transcription start sites and identified YY1 as the strongest +1 nucleosome-positioning factor. Leveraging long-context single-molecule modeling, we further discovered a shared sequence basis for the co-accessibility of regulatory elements and the co-footprinting of transcription factors. Joint prediction of DNA methylation and accessibility reveals a sequence-driven bimodal state mediated by methylation-sensitive transcription factors. Beyond static single-molecule snapshots, the S2d framework can generate pseudo-dynamic trajectories of chromatin states and propose a roadmap toward genome-wide chromatin dynamics. Moreover, we showed that Mola can predict and interpret the effects of genetic variants at the single-molecule level, revealing how sequence changes reshape distal regulatory coordination. Together, this sequence-to-distribution framework lays the foundation for understanding how genomic sequence encodes stochastic and dynamic genome regulation, and how genetic variation changes it, one molecule at a time.
ER  -