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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0International Journal of Computer Assisted Radiology and Surgery

Dynamic uncertainty-level assessment framework for real-time needle tracking in CT-guided surgical environments

  1. 1Otto von Guericke University Magdeburg, Faculty of Computer Science, Chair of Virtual and Augmented Reality, Universitaetsplatz 2, 39106 Magdeburg, Germany
  2. 2Research Campus STIMULATE, Otto-Hahn-Str. 2, 39106 Magdeburg, Germany

Abstract

Purpose:: Accurate needle tracking is critical for the success of computed tomography (CT)-guided interventions, where even minor deviations may compromise procedural safety and clinical outcomes. However, existing image-guided tracking systems typically lack mechanisms to quantify and communicate the reliability of their predictions in real time, leaving clinicians to act on guidance of uncertain trustworthiness.

Methods:: We propose a Dynamic Uncertainty Level Assessment Framework that provides a quantitative, real-time estimate of tracking reliability by linearly linking a predicted uncertainty score to spatial tracking error. The framework consists of three different approaches: (1) a classic method based on dynamically weighted, interpretable reliability metrics; (2) a lightweight convolutional neural network (CNN) that predicts uncertainty directly from multi-view image data; and (3) a hybrid CNN that adaptively optimizes metric weights while preserving interpretability. The uncertainty level is defined on a fixed scale, with 0%0% corresponding to ideal tracking (error of 0 mm) and 100%100% to a tracking error of 10 mm.

Results:: Experimental validation on clinical and clinically realistic laboratory datasets of ∼ ∼30,000 frames demonstrates a strong positive correlation between uncertainty and error (Pearson r > 0.82r>0.82) and achieves a stable tracking error estimation (error difference <0.6<0.6 mm) with real-time performance (5 ms per frame).

Conclusion:: By enabling an intuitive uncertainty-to-error mapping, the proposed framework supports more informed intra-procedural decision-making, enhances operator trust in guidance data, and establishes a practical basis for integration into uncertainty-aware CT-guided intervention systems.

Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w.

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BibTeX
@article{steiger2026dynamic,
  title = {{Dynamic uncertainty-level assessment framework for real-time needle tracking in CT-guided surgical environments}},
  author = {Max Steiger and Mohammad Rezapourian and Marko Rak and Christian Hansen},
  journal = {International Journal of Computer Assisted Radiology and Surgery},
  year = {2026},
  month = jun,
  doi = {10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Dynamic uncertainty-level assessment framework for real-time needle tracking in CT-guided surgical environments
AU  - Max Steiger
AU  - Mohammad Rezapourian
AU  - Marko Rak
AU  - Christian Hansen
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/06/05
JO  - International Journal of Computer Assisted Radiology and Surgery
DO  - 10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w
AB  - Purpose:: Accurate needle tracking is critical for the success of computed tomography (CT)-guided interventions, where even minor deviations may compromise procedural safety and clinical outcomes. However, existing image-guided tracking systems typically lack mechanisms to quantify and communicate the reliability of their predictions in real time, leaving clinicians to act on guidance of uncertain trustworthiness.  Methods:: We propose a Dynamic Uncertainty Level Assessment Framework that provides a quantitative, real-time estimate of tracking reliability by linearly linking a predicted uncertainty score to spatial tracking error. The framework consists of three different approaches: (1) a classic method based on dynamically weighted, interpretable reliability metrics; (2) a lightweight convolutional neural network (CNN) that predicts uncertainty directly from multi-view image data; and (3) a hybrid CNN that adaptively optimizes metric weights while preserving interpretability. The uncertainty level is defined on a fixed scale, with 0%0% corresponding to ideal tracking (error of 0 mm) and 100%100% to a tracking error of 10 mm.  Results:: Experimental validation on clinical and clinically realistic laboratory datasets of ∼ ∼30,000 frames demonstrates a strong positive correlation between uncertainty and error (Pearson r > 0.82r>0.82) and achieves a stable tracking error estimation (error difference <0.6<0.6 mm) with real-time performance (5 ms per frame).  Conclusion:: By enabling an intuitive uncertainty-to-error mapping, the proposed framework supports more informed intra-procedural decision-making, enhances operator trust in guidance data, and establishes a practical basis for integration into uncertainty-aware CT-guided intervention systems.  Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s11548-026-03725-w.
SN  - 1861-6410
SN  - 1861-6429
ER  -