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PreprintCC BY-NC-ND 4.0arXiv

The Debiased Score Test: Hunt-and-test for Semiparametric Hypotheses

Abstract

The parametric score test assesses a hypothesis through derivatives of the log-likelihood, whose expectation vanishes under the null. When the parameter of interest is a regression function identified as a risk minimiser, we extend this idea to test whether it belongs to a given linear function class. This yields goodness-of-fit tests for common semiparametric regression models, including generalised additive and partially linear models. Suitably formulated, the framework also detects effect modifiers in observational studies. We propose a hunt-and-test strategy that splits the data into two: on one part, after fitting the null model, machine learning is used to identify a promising direction in the empirical scores; on the other, we test whether the score vanishes in that direction. To account for error in estimating the null model, we apply a debiasing correction based on a weighted least squares projection. We establish Type I error control under relatively mild conditions and show the test has power whenever the hunted direction is correlated with the true score. Simulations and real-data examples demonstrate favourable performance, including identifying effect modifiers in an HIV clinical trial and assessing an additive model for insurance claims. The methodology is implemented in the R package dScoreTest.

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BibTeX
@misc{dhawan2026debiased,
  title = {{The Debiased Score Test: Hunt-and-test for Semiparametric Hypotheses}},
  author = {Aditya Dhawan and F. Richard Guo and Rajen D. Shah},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2607.28861},
  eprint = {2607.28861},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.28861},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - The Debiased Score Test: Hunt-and-test for Semiparametric Hypotheses
AU  - Aditya Dhawan
AU  - F. Richard Guo
AU  - Rajen D. Shah
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/12
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2607.28861
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.28861
AB  - The parametric score test assesses a hypothesis through derivatives of the log-likelihood, whose expectation vanishes under the null. When the parameter of interest is a regression function identified as a risk minimiser, we extend this idea to test whether it belongs to a given linear function class. This yields goodness-of-fit tests for common semiparametric regression models, including generalised additive and partially linear models. Suitably formulated, the framework also detects effect modifiers in observational studies. We propose a hunt-and-test strategy that splits the data into two: on one part, after fitting the null model, machine learning is used to identify a promising direction in the empirical scores; on the other, we test whether the score vanishes in that direction. To account for error in estimating the null model, we apply a debiasing correction based on a weighted least squares projection. We establish Type I error control under relatively mild conditions and show the test has power whenever the hunted direction is correlated with the true score. Simulations and real-data examples demonstrate favourable performance, including identifying effect modifiers in an HIV clinical trial and assessing an additive model for insurance claims. The methodology is implemented in the R package dScoreTest.
ER  -