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PreprintCC BY-NC-ND 4.0arXiv

Faster Estimates from Binned Test Score Data---and How Accurate They Are

Abstract

Education agencies often summarize test score distributions by counting how many students scored in 3 to 5 different \textit{bins}. The HETOP model transforms bin counts into estimated means and standard deviations, assuming that scores follow a normal distribution within each school or district. Past HETOP implementations ran slowly, taking 3--60 minutes, if they finished, when given bin counts for all 1,151 districts in Texas. Our new function, \code{fast\_hetop()} in the R package \pkg{binest}, runs all Texas districts in less than a second. Users can choose between maximum likelihood, empirical Bayes, sample-based or population-based estimates. Estimates are strongly correlated with true values, but have bias when the score distribution is skewed and scores are concentrated in the lowest or highest bin.

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BibTeX
@misc{hippel2026faster,
  title = {{Faster Estimates from Binned Test Score Data---and How Accurate They Are}},
  author = {Paul T. von Hippel},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.36312},
  eprint = {2609.36312},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.36312},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Faster Estimates from Binned Test Score Data---and How Accurate They Are
AU  - Paul T. von Hippel
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/28
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.36312
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.36312
AB  - Education agencies often summarize test score distributions by counting how many students scored in 3 to 5 different \textit{bins}. The HETOP model transforms bin counts into estimated means and standard deviations, assuming that scores follow a normal distribution within each school or district. Past HETOP implementations ran slowly, taking 3--60 minutes, if they finished, when given bin counts for all 1,151 districts in Texas. Our new function, \code{fast\_hetop()} in the R package \pkg{binest}, runs all Texas districts in less than a second. Users can choose between maximum likelihood, empirical Bayes, sample-based or population-based estimates. Estimates are strongly correlated with true values, but have bias when the score distribution is skewed and scores are concentrated in the lowest or highest bin.
ER  -