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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Metabolites

Deciphering Vascular Smooth Muscle Cell Phenotype Switching via Integrated Single-Cell Transcriptomics and Machine Learning: CX3CR1 and COL1A1 as Novel Diagnostic Biomarkers for Atherosclerosis

  1. 1College of Chinese Medicine, Hunan University of Chinese Medicine, Changsha 410208, China

Abstract

Background: Atherosclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the arterial wall in which immune-cell accumulation and vascular stromal remodeling jointly shape plaque progression and stability. Because bulk-tissue transcriptomes combine signals from multiple cell types, the cellular origin of candidate expression markers must be resolved before they can be interpreted as vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC)-intrinsic features. Methods: We integrated the GSE309462 human carotid-plaque single-cell RNA-sequencing dataset with the bulk arterial-tissue datasets GSE100927 and GSE57691. Intersection-derived genes were prioritized using LASSO, random forest, and SVM-RFE. Discriminatory direction was standardized for receiver operating characteristic analysis, the five consensus genes were evaluated in the independent plaque-stage dataset GSE28829, and their cellular origins were audited across 99,027 cells from 12 donors. Results: Forty-nine genes were shared between the SMC-cluster-associated gene set and the bulk arterial-tissue differential-expression results. Five genes (MPEG1, CX3CR1, SERPINA3, LMCD1, and COL1A1) were selected by all three machine-learning procedures. In the training data, direction-standardized AUCs ranged from 0.859 to 0.922. In GSE28829, MPEG1, CX3CR1, and COL1A1 showed higher expression in advanced plaques and AUCs of 0.904, 0.827, and 0.928, respectively; LMCD1 was higher in early plaques (AUC 0.870), whereas SERPINA3 showed limited discrimination (AUC 0.442). Single-cell localization showed that MPEG1 and CX3CR1 were predominantly expressed in macrophages, whereas LMCD1 and COL1A1 were enriched in VSMCs and other vascular stromal cells. Conclusion: The expression signature captures compartmentally distinct processes, particularly myeloid-cell infiltration and extracellular-matrix remodeling. These genes should therefore be interpreted as plaque-associated tissue markers and mechanistic candidates rather than validated non-invasive diagnostic biomarkers or definitive VSMC-lineage markers.

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BibTeX
@article{wang2026deciphering,
  title = {{Deciphering Vascular Smooth Muscle Cell Phenotype Switching via Integrated Single-Cell Transcriptomics and Machine Learning: CX3CR1 and COL1A1 as Novel Diagnostic Biomarkers for Atherosclerosis}},
  author = {Zhiqiang Wang and Zhenyu Zhao and Zhixi Hu and Jiahao Ye},
  journal = {Metabolites},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3390/metabo16100742},
  url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2218-1989/16/10/742},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Deciphering Vascular Smooth Muscle Cell Phenotype Switching via Integrated Single-Cell Transcriptomics and Machine Learning: CX3CR1 and COL1A1 as Novel Diagnostic Biomarkers for Atherosclerosis
AU  - Zhiqiang Wang
AU  - Zhenyu Zhao
AU  - Zhixi Hu
AU  - Jiahao Ye
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/01
JO  - Metabolites
DO  - 10.3390/metabo16100742
UR  - https://www.mdpi.com/2218-1989/16/10/742
AB  - Background: Atherosclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the arterial wall in which immune-cell accumulation and vascular stromal remodeling jointly shape plaque progression and stability. Because bulk-tissue transcriptomes combine signals from multiple cell types, the cellular origin of candidate expression markers must be resolved before they can be interpreted as vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC)-intrinsic features. Methods: We integrated the GSE309462 human carotid-plaque single-cell RNA-sequencing dataset with the bulk arterial-tissue datasets GSE100927 and GSE57691. Intersection-derived genes were prioritized using LASSO, random forest, and SVM-RFE. Discriminatory direction was standardized for receiver operating characteristic analysis, the five consensus genes were evaluated in the independent plaque-stage dataset GSE28829, and their cellular origins were audited across 99,027 cells from 12 donors. Results: Forty-nine genes were shared between the SMC-cluster-associated gene set and the bulk arterial-tissue differential-expression results. Five genes (MPEG1, CX3CR1, SERPINA3, LMCD1, and COL1A1) were selected by all three machine-learning procedures. In the training data, direction-standardized AUCs ranged from 0.859 to 0.922. In GSE28829, MPEG1, CX3CR1, and COL1A1 showed higher expression in advanced plaques and AUCs of 0.904, 0.827, and 0.928, respectively; LMCD1 was higher in early plaques (AUC 0.870), whereas SERPINA3 showed limited discrimination (AUC 0.442). Single-cell localization showed that MPEG1 and CX3CR1 were predominantly expressed in macrophages, whereas LMCD1 and COL1A1 were enriched in VSMCs and other vascular stromal cells. Conclusion: The expression signature captures compartmentally distinct processes, particularly myeloid-cell infiltration and extracellular-matrix remodeling. These genes should therefore be interpreted as plaque-associated tissue markers and mechanistic candidates rather than validated non-invasive diagnostic biomarkers or definitive VSMC-lineage markers.
SN  - 2218-1989
ER  -