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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0BMC Pulmonary Medicine

Noninvasive prediction of classic EGFR-activating mutations in non-small cell lung cancer using a combined spectral computed tomography model: an auxiliary tool for preoperative stratification of candidates for EGFR-TKI therapy

  1. 1Department of Radiology, Longyan First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Longyan, Fujian Province China

Abstract

Background: EGFR genotyping is essential for EGFR-TKI therapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), but invasive biopsy has limitations. Noninvasive preoperative stratification tools are urgently needed.

Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 129 NSCLC patients to develop and internally validate a combined model integrating clinical features, conventional CT findings, and dual-layer spectral CT parameters for predicting classic EGFR-activating mutations. Performance was evaluated by ROC, DeLong test, DCA, and 1000-iteration bootstrap validation.

Results: The combined model achieved an AUC of 0.805, significantly outperforming the clinical-conventional CT model (AUC = 0.642, P < 0.001). Venous-phase normalized iodine concentration (NIC) was the only independent predictor (OR = 2.578, P = 0.018). The model showed robust performance in the lung adenocarcinoma subgroup (AUC = 0.810) with negligible overfitting.

Conclusions: This noninvasive spectral CT model provides a reliable, easy-to-implement auxiliary tool for preoperative EGFR mutation stratification to optimize EGFR-TKI therapy decisions.

Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7.

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BibTeX
@article{zhan2026noninvasive,
  title = {{Noninvasive prediction of classic EGFR-activating mutations in non-small cell lung cancer using a combined spectral computed tomography model: an auxiliary tool for preoperative stratification of candidates for EGFR-TKI therapy}},
  author = {Qianqian Zhan and Hui Lin and Dandan Lin and Xueyan Liao},
  journal = {BMC Pulmonary Medicine},
  year = {2026},
  month = aug,
  doi = {10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Noninvasive prediction of classic EGFR-activating mutations in non-small cell lung cancer using a combined spectral computed tomography model: an auxiliary tool for preoperative stratification of candidates for EGFR-TKI therapy
AU  - Qianqian Zhan
AU  - Hui Lin
AU  - Dandan Lin
AU  - Xueyan Liao
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/08/11
JO  - BMC Pulmonary Medicine
DO  - 10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7
UR  - https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7
AB  - Background: EGFR genotyping is essential for EGFR-TKI therapy in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), but invasive biopsy has limitations. Noninvasive preoperative stratification tools are urgently needed.  Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 129 NSCLC patients to develop and internally validate a combined model integrating clinical features, conventional CT findings, and dual-layer spectral CT parameters for predicting classic EGFR-activating mutations. Performance was evaluated by ROC, DeLong test, DCA, and 1000-iteration bootstrap validation.  Results: The combined model achieved an AUC of 0.805, significantly outperforming the clinical-conventional CT model (AUC = 0.642, P < 0.001). Venous-phase normalized iodine concentration (NIC) was the only independent predictor (OR = 2.578, P = 0.018). The model showed robust performance in the lung adenocarcinoma subgroup (AUC = 0.810) with negligible overfitting.  Conclusions: This noninvasive spectral CT model provides a reliable, easy-to-implement auxiliary tool for preoperative EGFR mutation stratification to optimize EGFR-TKI therapy decisions.  Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s12890-026-04575-7.
SN  - 1471-2466
ER  -