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Peer-reviewedCC BYMathematics Interdisciplinary Research

Economic Determinants and Social Influences on Gambling‎ ‎in‎ ‎South‎ ‎Africa:‎ ‎A‎ ‎Mathematical Modeling Approach

  • Tichaona Chikore1
  • Farai Nyabadza1
  1. 1Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, ‎South Africa
Open at sourcePDFDOICite

Abstract

‎Gambling in South Africa‎, ‎propelled by casinos‎, ‎sports betting‎, ‎and a growing online sector‎, ‎is increasingly influenced by economic pressures and accessibility‎. ‎This study presents a {partially data-informed} mathematical model to {analyze} gambling participation‎, ‎focusing on the impact of economic indicators (unemployment‎, ‎inflation‎, ‎GDP per capita‎, ‎and poverty) on gambling behaviours‎. ‎Integrating these factors with social influences‎, ‎we employ a non-linear differential equation framework to evaluate the perceived utility of gambling in varying economic scenarios‎. ‎Using Monte Carlo simulations and scenario analysis‎, ‎our results reveal a significant association between high unemployment‎, ‎poverty‎, ‎and increased gambling participation‎, ‎particularly in socially cohesive environments‎. ‎Results indicate that higher unemployment and poverty levels significantly correlate with increased gambling‎, ‎with social influence amplifying this trend‎. ‎Unemployment and peer effects emerge as primary predictors‎, ‎highlighting economic hardship's role in gambling behaviour‎. ‎These findings suggest targeted interventions for economically vulnerable populations‎, ‎such as educational campaigns and support services‎, ‎to mitigate gambling-related risks during economic downturns‎.

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Cite

BibTeXRIS
BibTeX
@article{chikore2026economic,
  title = {{Economic Determinants and Social Influences on Gambling‎ ‎in‎ ‎South‎ ‎Africa:‎ ‎A‎ ‎Mathematical Modeling Approach}},
  author = {Tichaona Chikore and Farai Nyabadza},
  journal = {Mathematics Interdisciplinary Research},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Economic Determinants and Social Influences on Gambling‎ ‎in‎ ‎South‎ ‎Africa:‎ ‎A‎ ‎Mathematical Modeling Approach
AU  - Tichaona Chikore
AU  - Farai Nyabadza
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/30
JO  - Mathematics Interdisciplinary Research
DO  - 10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549
UR  - https://doi.org/10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549
AB  - ‎Gambling in South Africa‎, ‎propelled by casinos‎, ‎sports betting‎, ‎and a growing online sector‎, ‎is increasingly influenced by economic pressures and accessibility‎. ‎This study presents a {partially data-informed} mathematical model to {analyze} gambling participation‎, ‎focusing on the impact of economic indicators (unemployment‎, ‎inflation‎, ‎GDP per capita‎, ‎and poverty) on gambling behaviours‎. ‎Integrating these factors with social influences‎, ‎we employ a non-linear differential equation framework to evaluate the perceived utility of gambling in varying economic scenarios‎. ‎Using Monte Carlo simulations and scenario analysis‎, ‎our results reveal a significant association between high unemployment‎, ‎poverty‎, ‎and increased gambling participation‎, ‎particularly in socially cohesive environments‎. ‎Results indicate that higher unemployment and poverty levels significantly correlate with increased gambling‎, ‎with social influence amplifying this trend‎. ‎Unemployment and peer effects emerge as primary predictors‎, ‎highlighting economic hardship's role in gambling behaviour‎. ‎These findings suggest targeted interventions for economically vulnerable populations‎, ‎such as educational campaigns and support services‎, ‎to mitigate gambling-related risks during economic downturns‎.
SN  - 2476-4965
ER  -