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Peer-reviewedCC BYEpidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil

Hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age: time and spatial series analysis, Arapiraca, 2010-2021.

  1. 1Universidade Federal Fluminense Faculdade de Medicina NiteróiRJ Brazil Universidade Federal Fluminense, Faculdade de Medicina, Niterói, RJ, Brazil.
  2. 2Universidade Federal de Alagoas Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem MaceióAL Brazil Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem, Maceió, AL, Brazil.

Abstract

Objective

To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age in Arapiraca, Alagoas, between 2010 and 2021.Methods

This is a time and spatial series analysis of hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age in Arapiraca. The temporal trend in hospitalization rates was assessed using autoregressive linear regression from 2010 to 2019, estimating the average annual percent change (AAPC), the 95% confidence interval (95%CI), and the corresponding p-value. A density map was created to assess spatial distribution using the Kernel density estimator, identifying case clusters between 2017 and 2021.Results

A total of 4,013 hospitalizations were recorded; 59.9% occurred in children under 2 years of age, 57.1% remained hospitalized for 2 to 3 days, and there were 7 deaths. In 2021, hospitalization rates in children under 1 year of age were 4 times higher in the rural area (40.3/1,000 children/year; 95%CI 26.8; 64.7). The trend was increasing for hospitalizations in children under 5 years of age in rural (AAPC 0.56; 95%CI 0.29; 0.83; p-value 0.001) and urban areas (AAPC 0.06; 95%CI 0.02; 0.09; p-value 0.006), and in children aged 1 to 4 years, remaining stationary among those under 1 year of age. Spatial analysis identified clusters of cases in areas of accelerated urbanization.Conclusion

Diarrhea is one of the main causes of hospitalization in childhood, with increasing trends in vulnerable territories, reinforcing the need for health surveillance and planning.

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BibTeX
@article{melo2026hospitalizations,
  title = {{Hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age: time and spatial series analysis, Arapiraca, 2010-2021.}},
  author = {Evandro da Silva Melo and Carla Souza Dos Anjos and Lousanny Caires Rocha Melo and Rafaella Souza Albuquerque},
  journal = {Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil},
  year = {2026},
  month = jul,
  doi = {10.1590/s2237-96222026v35e20250725.en},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42923021},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age: time and spatial series analysis, Arapiraca, 2010-2021.
AU  - Evandro da Silva Melo
AU  - Carla Souza Dos Anjos
AU  - Lousanny Caires Rocha Melo
AU  - Rafaella Souza Albuquerque
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/07/24
JO  - Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil
DO  - 10.1590/s2237-96222026v35e20250725.en
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42923021
AB  - Objective  To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age in Arapiraca, Alagoas, between 2010 and 2021.Methods  This is a time and spatial series analysis of hospitalizations for diarrhea in children under 5 years of age in Arapiraca. The temporal trend in hospitalization rates was assessed using autoregressive linear regression from 2010 to 2019, estimating the average annual percent change (AAPC), the 95% confidence interval (95%CI), and the corresponding p-value. A density map was created to assess spatial distribution using the Kernel density estimator, identifying case clusters between 2017 and 2021.Results  A total of 4,013 hospitalizations were recorded; 59.9% occurred in children under 2 years of age, 57.1% remained hospitalized for 2 to 3 days, and there were 7 deaths. In 2021, hospitalization rates in children under 1 year of age were 4 times higher in the rural area (40.3/1,000 children/year; 95%CI 26.8; 64.7). The trend was increasing for hospitalizations in children under 5 years of age in rural (AAPC 0.56; 95%CI 0.29; 0.83; p-value 0.001) and urban areas (AAPC 0.06; 95%CI 0.02; 0.09; p-value 0.006), and in children aged 1 to 4 years, remaining stationary among those under 1 year of age. Spatial analysis identified clusters of cases in areas of accelerated urbanization.Conclusion  Diarrhea is one of the main causes of hospitalization in childhood, with increasing trends in vulnerable territories, reinforcing the need for health surveillance and planning.
SN  - 1679-4974
SN  - 2237-9622
ER  -