Challenging the guidelines: longitudinal trends in left ventricular diameter and function in severe aortic regurgitation
- 1The Department of Cardiology, Rabin Medical Center, Beilinson Hospital
- 2Affiliated with the Gray Faculty of Medical & Health Sciences, Tel-Aviv University
- 3The Faculty of Data and Decision Sciences, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology
Abstract
Background: Guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (AR) based on progressive changes in left ventricular (LV) function or size. We aimed to reassess the clinical relevance of current guideline recommendations pertaining to traditional echocardiographic measurements in routine practice.
Methods: Retrospective analysis of patients with severe AR who underwent serial echocardiographic follow-up over at least 18 months. The composite outcome was symptom-driven AVR, acute heart failure hospitalization, or death. We used a joint modelling approach to handle within-subject correlation and censoring.
Results: The cohort consisted of 140 patients, with a median follow-up of 93 months (interquartile range 58–130). LV end-systolic (LVESD) and fractional shortening (FS) showed a small but statistically significant longitudinal trend, while LVEDD did not. In three separate joint models adjusted for age at onset and sex, higher LVESD and LVEDD and lower FS were each associated with increased risk of the composite event. Each 1 mm increase in LVESD and LVEDD was associated with a 6% in risk; each 1% decrease in FS corresponded to a 12% increase in risk. Only 8 (5.7%) of patients were predicted to exceed the guideline-recommended LVEDD threshold of 65 mm over 10 years. Age at onset was also a significant risk factor, with each decade increasing risk by 65% for each of the three parallel joint models.
Conclusion: LV parameters show modest changes over time, despite holding strong prognostic value in patients with severe AR. LVEDD, while associated with overall risk, does not predictably or significantly dilate over time in most patients. AVR decisions should be based on comprehensive clinical and volumetric assessment rather than waiting for simple linear progression to guideline cutoffs.
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BibTeX
@article{schwartzenberg2026challenging,
title = {{Challenging the guidelines: longitudinal trends in left ventricular diameter and function in severe aortic regurgitation}},
author = {Shmuel Schwartzenberg and Amit Berkowitz and Tsahi T. Lerman and Tamir Bental and Mordehay Vaturi and Yair Goldberg and Yaron Shapira},
journal = {Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.3389/fcvm.2026.1975473},
url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2026.1975473/full},
note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Challenging the guidelines: longitudinal trends in left ventricular diameter and function in severe aortic regurgitation
AU - Shmuel Schwartzenberg
AU - Amit Berkowitz
AU - Tsahi T. Lerman
AU - Tamir Bental
AU - Mordehay Vaturi
AU - Yair Goldberg
AU - Yaron Shapira
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/22
JO - Frontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
DO - 10.3389/fcvm.2026.1975473
UR - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2026.1975473/full
AB - Background: Guidelines recommend aortic valve replacement (AVR) in patients with severe aortic regurgitation (AR) based on progressive changes in left ventricular (LV) function or size. We aimed to reassess the clinical relevance of current guideline recommendations pertaining to traditional echocardiographic measurements in routine practice. Methods: Retrospective analysis of patients with severe AR who underwent serial echocardiographic follow-up over at least 18 months. The composite outcome was symptom-driven AVR, acute heart failure hospitalization, or death. We used a joint modelling approach to handle within-subject correlation and censoring. Results: The cohort consisted of 140 patients, with a median follow-up of 93 months (interquartile range 58–130). LV end-systolic (LVESD) and fractional shortening (FS) showed a small but statistically significant longitudinal trend, while LVEDD did not. In three separate joint models adjusted for age at onset and sex, higher LVESD and LVEDD and lower FS were each associated with increased risk of the composite event. Each 1 mm increase in LVESD and LVEDD was associated with a 6% in risk; each 1% decrease in FS corresponded to a 12% increase in risk. Only 8 (5.7%) of patients were predicted to exceed the guideline-recommended LVEDD threshold of 65 mm over 10 years. Age at onset was also a significant risk factor, with each decade increasing risk by 65% for each of the three parallel joint models. Conclusion: LV parameters show modest changes over time, despite holding strong prognostic value in patients with severe AR. LVEDD, while associated with overall risk, does not predictably or significantly dilate over time in most patients. AVR decisions should be based on comprehensive clinical and volumetric assessment rather than waiting for simple linear progression to guideline cutoffs.
SN - 2297-055X
ER -